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China's 5-year loan prime rate was left unchanged at 3.5% in September, meeting consensus and matching the prior reading. The 5-year rate has held steady following a cut earlier in the year aimed at supporting the property sector. This rate directly influences long-term mortgage pricing, making it a key lever for housing market conditions across China.
The People's Bank of China kept its 1-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.0% in September, in line with consensus expectations and matching the prior setting. The rate has remained steady as authorities balance support for the economy with concerns about currency stability and financial risks. The 1-year LPR serves as the benchmark for most new corporate and household loans in China.
The People's Bank of China kept its five-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.5% in September, in line with consensus and matching August's level. The five-year LPR is the benchmark used to price most long-term loans, including mortgages, and its stability suggests the central bank is pausing after earlier cuts. Holding the rate steady signals policymakers are weighing further stimulus against concerns about currency stability and financial risks.
China's industrial production grew 5.2% year-on-year in August, up from 4.5% in July, beating the recent trend and outpacing expectations, with no consensus forecast available. The pickup represents the strongest reading in several months. Industrial output is a key indicator of factory activity in the world's largest goods exporter and influences global supply chains.
Chinese retail sales grew 0.4% year-on-year in August, slowing from 0.6% in July, with no consensus estimate available. The deceleration extends a pattern of weak consumer spending that has persisted through much of 2023. Soft retail sales raise concern about the pace of China's post-pandemic recovery, which has implications for global demand and commodity prices.
China's surveyed urban unemployment rate edged up to 5.3% in August from 5.2% in July, with no consensus forecast available. The reading moves further from the government's full-year target of around 5.5% or below, but still represents a slight deterioration in labor market conditions. China's employment data are watched globally given the country's role as a major driver of world economic growth.
Chinese banks extended 60 billion yuan in new loans in August, a sharp recovery from a contraction of 340 billion yuan in July but well below the consensus estimate of 450 billion yuan. The shortfall relative to expectations suggests credit demand among households and businesses remains weak. Loan growth is a key indicator of economic activity in China, where bank lending is the primary channel for financing investment.
China's annual inflation rate edged up to 0.8% in August from 0.5% in July, a modest acceleration but still well below levels seen in most major economies. The reading underscores persistent deflationary pressures in the world's second-largest economy, driven by weak domestic consumer demand. Low inflation in China can signal sluggish economic activity and may prompt authorities to consider further stimulus measures.
China's imports grew 28.2% year-on-year in August, up from 27.5% in July, according to data released on Sep 08. No consensus estimate was provided for comparison. Rising import growth alongside strong exports suggests both domestic demand and export-oriented manufacturing activity remained active during the month.
China posted a trade surplus of $119.1 billion in August, slightly below the $120 billion consensus but up from $112.5 billion in July, according to data released on Sep 08. The result keeps the surplus near historically elevated levels. A large and persistent trade surplus can influence currency valuations and is often a focal point in international trade discussions.
China's exports rose 25% year-on-year in August, edging up from 23.9% growth recorded in July, according to data released on Sep 08. No analyst consensus was available. Strong export growth reflects continued global demand for Chinese goods and is a major driver of China's overall economic output.
China's consumer price index rose 0.8% year-on-year in August, up from 0.5% in July, according to data released on Sep 09. No analyst consensus was available for comparison. Consumer prices in China have remained far below the government's 3% target, so any acceleration is watched as a gauge of whether domestic demand is recovering.
China posted a trade surplus of $119.1 billion in August, just below the $120 billion consensus but up from $112.5 billion in July. Both exports and imports grew faster than in the prior month, keeping the surplus broadly elevated. A large and persistent trade surplus can influence currency valuations and is a closely watched measure in trade relations between China and its major partners.
China's imports rose 28.2% year-on-year in August, up from 27.5% in July, with no consensus figure available. The acceleration suggests strengthening domestic demand and increased appetite for raw materials and intermediate goods. Rising import growth is often read as a sign of underlying economic activity within China, the world's second-largest economy.
China's exports grew 25% year-on-year in August, accelerating from the 23.9% increase recorded in July. No consensus estimate was available for comparison. Strong export growth signals continued global demand for Chinese manufactured goods, which is significant given China's role as the world's largest exporter.
China's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.5 in August from 50.9 in July, according to data released on September 01; no consensus estimate was available. The reading marks the highest level in several months and signals a broadening expansion in factory activity. China's manufacturing sector is a key driver of global supply chains, so stronger output can influence commodity demand and trade flows worldwide.
China's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.8 in August from 50.9 in July, slipping back below the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction. No consensus estimate was available for this release. A sub-50 reading indicates that factory activity across surveyed Chinese manufacturers shrank on balance during the month.
Aug 31, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's industrial production grew 4.5% year-over-year in July, below the consensus forecast of 5.0% and slower than the 5.3% pace recorded in June. The deceleration adds to signs that China's post-pandemic recovery is losing momentum. Industrial production covers manufacturing, mining, and utilities, making it a broad indicator of the health of China's supply-side economy.
Aug 18, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's retail sales expanded 0.6% year-over-year in July, falling short of the 1.5% consensus estimate and slowing from 1.0% growth in June. The weaker reading points to continued softness in domestic consumer demand. Retail sales are a primary measure of household consumption in China, the world's second-largest economy, making the shortfall significant for global growth expectations.
Aug 18, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's retail sales grew 0.6% year-on-year in July, significantly missing the 1.5% consensus estimate and slowing from 1.0% in June. The result points to persistently weak consumer spending inside the world's second-largest economy. Sluggish domestic demand in China can weigh on global growth expectations and reduce appetite for imports from trade partners.
Aug 17, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's industrial production expanded 4.5% year-on-year in July, falling short of the 5.0% consensus estimate and slowing from 5.3% in June. The result marks the weakest pace of factory growth in several months. Industrial output is a key gauge of demand for raw materials and manufactured goods globally, so a slowdown in China can affect commodity prices and trade flows worldwide.
Aug 17, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's Producer Price Index rose 3.5% year-on-year in July, slowing from 4.1% in June and coming in below the 4.3% consensus estimate. The deceleration suggests factory-gate price pressures are easing more quickly than expected. PPI is watched as a leading indicator of future consumer inflation and corporate profit margins, since producer costs typically flow through to retail prices over time.
Aug 10, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's CPI declined 0.1% month-on-month in July, an improvement from the -0.3% recorded in June but still marking a third straight monthly fall. The reading continues a pattern of subdued consumer price movement despite government efforts to boost domestic consumption. Repeated monthly declines in consumer prices can be an early indicator of deflationary pressures that weigh on business revenues and economic growth.
Aug 10, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% month-on-month in July, missing the 0.3% gain analysts had expected, though improving slightly from the -0.3% reading in June. The persistent month-on-month softness highlights ongoing deflationary pressure at the consumer level. Month-on-month CPI declines can reflect weak seasonal demand or excess supply, and sustained softness may prompt policy discussions around stimulus measures.
Aug 10, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's Consumer Price Index rose 0.5% year-on-year in July, slowing from the 1.0% increase recorded in June. The reading reflects continued softness in consumer prices across major categories including food and goods. Low inflation in China can signal weak domestic demand and may influence expectations around monetary policy support from the People's Bank of China.
Aug 10, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's annual inflation rate fell to 0.5% in July, down from 1.0% in June and well below the 0.9% consensus estimate. It marks a significant deceleration in consumer price growth, continuing a trend of subdued inflation in the world's second-largest economy. Persistent weakness in domestic demand and falling food prices have kept inflation low, raising questions about the strength of China's economic recovery.
Aug 10, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's consumer price index declined 0.1% on a monthly basis in July, a slight improvement over the -0.3% drop seen in June, based on data published on August 09. No consensus figure was available for this release. While the pace of monthly price decline slowed, the index remaining in negative territory on a month-over-month basis points to continued softness in domestic consumer demand.
Aug 09, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's consumer price index rose 0.5% year-over-year in July, slipping from the 1.0% recorded in June, according to figures released on August 09. No consensus estimate was available for this release. The sharp deceleration in annual consumer inflation highlights the ongoing challenge China faces in sustaining price growth amid subdued household spending.
Aug 09, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's consumer price index fell 0.1% month-over-month in July, an improvement from the -0.3% recorded in June but significantly below the +0.3% gain that analysts had expected, per data released on August 09. The miss indicates that seasonal factors and policy support have not yet translated into a meaningful pickup in consumer prices on a monthly basis. Month-over-month CPI is a near-term indicator of price momentum and the continued negative reading reinforces concerns about deflationary trends in the Chinese economy.
Aug 09, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's producer price index fell 3.5% year-over-year in July, an improvement from the prior -4.1% but short of the -4.3% deflation that consensus had forecast, according to data released on August 09. Factory-gate prices have now been in negative territory for an extended stretch, though the pace of decline eased slightly. Prolonged producer price deflation can compress business margins and weigh on investment decisions across the supply chain.
Aug 09, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's annual inflation rate fell to 0.5% in July, down from 1.0% in June and well below the 0.9% consensus estimate, reported on August 09. The result roughly halved the prior month's pace and undershot forecasts by a wide margin. Softening consumer prices reflect persistent weakness in domestic demand, which policymakers have been trying to stimulate.
Aug 09, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
Chinese imports grew 27.5% year-on-year in July, down from 36% in June and with no consensus available for comparison. While still robust, the moderation suggests some cooling in domestic consumption or manufacturing input demand. Import trends are watched as a proxy for the strength of China's internal economy.
Aug 08, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's trade surplus came in at $112.5 billion in July, beating the consensus estimate of $105 billion but down from $125.62 billion in June. The narrowing from June largely reflects a slowdown in export growth outpacing that of imports. A widening trade surplus can put upward pressure on the yuan and influence trade relations with major partners.
Aug 08, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
Chinese exports rose 23.9% year-on-year in July, down from 27% growth recorded in June. No consensus estimate was available for this release. Export momentum remains strong in absolute terms, but the deceleration suggests some easing in global demand for Chinese goods.
Aug 08, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's imports grew 27.5% year-on-year in July, stepping down from 36% growth in June, with no consensus available for comparison. The easing pace points to some moderation in domestic economic activity following a sharp post-lockdown rebound. Import growth in China is closely tracked because it reflects demand for commodities, intermediate goods, and consumer products from countries worldwide.
Aug 07, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's exports rose 23.9% year-on-year in July, decelerating from a 27% gain in June, with no consensus available. Despite the slowdown, the pace of growth remains robust by historical norms and reflects ongoing global demand for Chinese manufactured goods. Export figures are a key indicator of the health of China's factory sector and its integration into global supply chains.
Aug 07, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's trade surplus reached $112.5 billion in July, exceeding the $105 billion consensus but down from $125.62 billion in June. The result reflects continued strength in exports relative to imports, though both growth rates decelerated from the prior month. China's trade balance is closely watched globally because of its scale and its implications for currency, manufacturing, and trade policy discussions.
Aug 07, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 50.9 in July, down from 51.7 in June and slightly below the consensus of 51.5, according to data released Aug 03. The index remains above the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction, but the decline signals a mild loss of momentum. Manufacturing activity in China is closely watched as an indicator of global goods demand and supply-chain conditions.
Aug 04, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep
China's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 50.9 in July, below both the consensus estimate of 51.5 and June's reading of 51.7. The index remains above 50, indicating that factory activity is still expanding, but the pace of growth slowed for the second consecutive month. Manufacturing PMI readings are an early signal of industrial momentum in the world's second-largest economy.
Aug 03, 17:51 UTCAlternativeMarkets.AI Newsroom · Data: Financial Modeling Prep